Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Metz had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Metz |
| 46.33% | 26.37% | 27.3% |
| Both teams to score 49.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.5% | 54.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.15% | 75.85% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.51% | 23.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.48% | 57.51% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.9% | 35.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.15% | 71.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 11.94% 2-1 @ 9.06% 2-0 @ 8.65% 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.74% Total : 46.32% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 8.25% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 8.63% 1-2 @ 6.55% 0-2 @ 4.52% 1-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.09% Total : 27.3% |