Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Metz had a probability of 23.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Lyon |
| 23.67% | 24.42% | 51.91% |
| Both teams to score 52.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.49% | 49.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.46% | 71.54% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.52% | 35.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.75% | 72.25% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.95% | 19.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.36% | 50.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 7% 2-1 @ 6.02% 2-0 @ 3.63% 3-1 @ 2.08% 3-2 @ 1.72% 3-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.97% Total : 23.67% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 6.76% 2-2 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.42% | 0-1 @ 11.2% 1-2 @ 9.63% 0-2 @ 9.29% 1-3 @ 5.32% 0-3 @ 5.14% 2-3 @ 2.76% 1-4 @ 2.21% 0-4 @ 2.13% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.09% Total : 51.9% |