Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Metz had a probability of 23.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Lyon |
23.67% | 24.42% | 51.91% |
Both teams to score 52.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.49% | 49.5% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.46% | 71.54% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.52% | 35.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.75% | 72.25% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.95% | 19.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.36% | 50.64% |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 7% 2-1 @ 6.02% 2-0 @ 3.63% 3-1 @ 2.08% 3-2 @ 1.72% 3-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.97% Total : 23.67% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 6.76% 2-2 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.42% | 0-1 @ 11.2% 1-2 @ 9.63% 0-2 @ 9.29% 1-3 @ 5.32% 0-3 @ 5.14% 2-3 @ 2.76% 1-4 @ 2.21% 0-4 @ 2.13% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.09% Total : 51.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 36 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |