Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18

Jan 6, 2021 at 6pm UK

Stade du Moustoir

Lorient
2 - 5
Monaco

Moffi (31'), Gravillon (67')
Lauriente (34')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Disasi (9'), Golovin (64'), Volland (68'), Diop (78'), Maripan (89')
Sidibe (3'), Martins (6'), Diop (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 50.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Monaco
24.62%	25.3%	50.08%

Both teams to score 50.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.8%

52.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.09%

73.91%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.88%

36.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.1%

72.9%

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.14%

20.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.45%

53.55%

Score Analysis

Lorient 24.62%

Monaco 50.07%

Draw 25.29%

Lorient	Draw	Monaco
1-0 @ 7.67% 2-1 @ 6.12% 2-0 @ 3.91% 3-1 @ 2.08% 3-2 @ 1.63% 3-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.88% Total : 24.62%	1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.29%	0-1 @ 11.8% 1-2 @ 9.42% 0-2 @ 9.25% 1-3 @ 4.92% 0-3 @ 4.84% 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.93% 0-4 @ 1.9% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.52% Total : 50.07%

How you voted: Lorient vs Monaco

Lorient

11.5%

Draw

9.4%

Monaco

79.2%