Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18

Jan 6, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
3 - 1
Montpellier

Radonjic (41'), Payet (80'), Germain (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mollet (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 23.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Montpellier HSC
51.36%	25.61%	23.04%

Both teams to score 48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.27%

54.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.95%

76.05%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.66%

21.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.69%

54.31%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.02%

38.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.3%

75.71%

Score Analysis

Marseille 51.36%

Montpellier HSC 23.04%

Draw 25.61%

Marseille	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 12.85% 2-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 9.35% 3-0 @ 5.11% 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.22% Total : 51.36%	1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 8.32% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.61%	0-1 @ 7.84% 1-2 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 3.69% 1-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.38% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.47% Total : 23.04%

How you voted: Marseille vs Montpellier

Marseille

56.8%

Draw

29.6%

Montpellier HSC

13.6%