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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 6, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Montpellier

Marseille
3 - 1
Montpellier

Radonjic (41'), Payet (80'), Germain (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mollet (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 23.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawMontpellier HSC
51.36%25.61%23.04%
Both teams to score 48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.27%54.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.95%76.05%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66%21.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.69%54.31%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.02%38.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.3%75.71%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 51.36%
    Montpellier HSC 23.04%
    Draw 25.61%
MarseilleDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 12.85%
2-0 @ 9.92%
2-1 @ 9.35%
3-0 @ 5.11%
3-1 @ 4.81%
3-2 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 51.36%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 8.32%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 7.84%
1-2 @ 5.7%
0-2 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.38%
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 23.04%

How you voted: Marseille vs Montpellier

Marseille
56.8%
Draw
29.6%
Montpellier HSC
13.6%
81
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2020 4.30pm
Sep 21, 2019 4.30pm
Gameweek 6
Marseille
1-1
Montpellier
Germain (74')
Amavi (19'), Strootman (66'), Payet (92')
Kamara (91'), Payet (93')
Sarr (17' og.)
Souquet (22'), Oyongo (44'), Mendes (59')
Ferri (91')
May 24, 2019 8.05pm
Gameweek 38
Marseille
1-0
Montpellier
Thauvin (56')
Sanson (11'), Hubocan (89')
Balotelli (87')
Nov 4, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 12
Montpellier
3-0
Marseille
Laborde (51', 62'), Lasne (70')

Thauvin (30'), Sanson (54'), Gustavo (88')
Apr 8, 2018 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1492331171429
3MonacoMonaco1492324121229
4Lille1475224141026
5Lyon147432617925
6Nice146532617923
7Lens146531712523
8Auxerre146262121020
9Reims145452018219
10Toulouse145361516-118
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne144191132-2113
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238


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