Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 54.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Metz had a probability of 20.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rennes in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Metz |
| 54.21% | 25.27% | 20.52% |
| Both teams to score 45.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.08% | 55.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.97% | 77.03% |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.36% | 20.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.78% | 53.22% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.79% | 42.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.38% | 78.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 13.74% 2-0 @ 10.84% 2-1 @ 9.36% 3-0 @ 5.7% 3-1 @ 4.92% 4-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.32% Total : 54.19% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 8.71% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 7.52% 1-2 @ 5.11% 0-2 @ 3.24% 1-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.16% 0-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.09% Total : 20.52% |