Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Rennes |
| 31.64% | 27.87% | 40.49% |
| Both teams to score 47.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.68% | 58.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.06% | 78.94% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.17% | 33.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.5% | 70.5% |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% | 28.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.06% | 63.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 7.09% 2-0 @ 5.61% 3-1 @ 2.56% 3-0 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.37% Total : 31.64% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.87% | 0-1 @ 12.08% 1-2 @ 8.28% 0-2 @ 7.64% 1-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.77% Total : 40.49% |