Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Angers had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Metz in this match.