| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Montpellier HSC | 38 | -12 | 43 |
| 14 | Angers | 38 | -11 | 41 |
| 15 | Troyes | 38 | -16 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| 19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
| 20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 55.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 22.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 1-2 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 55.89% ( | 22.06% ( | 22.04% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.02% ( | 40.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.63% ( | 63.37% ( |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.45% ( | 14.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.41% ( | 42.58% ( |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.77% ( | 32.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.28% ( | 68.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 1-0 @ 9.04% ( 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 3-1 @ 6.34% ( 3-0 @ 5.6% ( 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 4-1 @ 3.06% ( 4-0 @ 2.7% ( 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 5-0 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 55.89% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.06% | 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0-1 @ 5.31% ( 0-2 @ 3.01% ( 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 22.04% |