Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34

Apr 24, 2022 at 2pm UK

La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
5 - 3
Bordeaux

Coulibaly (47', 72'), Mangas (51' og.), Simon (76'), Bukari (89')
Bukari (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Niang (6'), Dilrosun (18'), Kwateng (67')
Marcelo (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Bordeaux, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

Last Six:

Last Game: Nantes 1-1 St Etienne
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Next Game: PSG vs. Nantes
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Trophee des Champions

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Lyon	38	15	61
9	Nantes	38	7	55
10	Lille	38	0	55

Bordeaux

Last Six:

Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Saint-Etienne	38	-35	32
19	Metz	38	-34	31
20	Bordeaux	38	-39	31

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 70.39%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 11.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Bordeaux
70.39%	18.04%	11.58%

Both teams to score 48.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.79%

42.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.39%

64.61%

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.23%

10.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.22%

34.78%

Bordeaux Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.03%

45.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.3%

81.7%

Score Analysis

Nantes 70.37%

Bordeaux 11.58%

Draw 18.04%

Nantes	Draw	Bordeaux
2-0 @ 12.29% 1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 9.56% 3-0 @ 9.13% 3-1 @ 7.1% 4-0 @ 5.09% 4-1 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 2.76% 5-0 @ 2.27% 5-1 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.91% Total : 70.37%	1-1 @ 8.58% 0-0 @ 4.95% 2-2 @ 3.71% Other @ 0.8% Total : 18.04%	0-1 @ 3.85% 1-2 @ 3.33% 0-2 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.94% Total : 11.58%