| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| 19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
| 20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Reims | 38 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSC | 38 | -12 | 43 |
| 14 | Angers | 38 | -11 | 41 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bordeaux | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 40.1% | 25.77% | 34.13% |
| Both teams to score 54.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.56% | 49.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.52% | 71.47% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.67% | 24.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.28% | 58.72% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.29% | 27.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.73% | 63.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bordeaux | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.1% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 6.74% 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.65% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 3.36% 0-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.89% Total : 34.13% |