| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| 19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
| 20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Troyes | 38 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
| 17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 19.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 1-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bordeaux | Draw | Lorient |
| 59.7% ( | 20.56% ( | 19.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.86% ( | 37.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.66% ( | 59.34% ( |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.84% ( | 12.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.23% ( | 37.77% ( |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.8% ( | 32.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.31% ( | 68.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bordeaux | Draw | Lorient |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 2-0 @ 8.69% ( 1-0 @ 8.25% ( 3-1 @ 6.92% ( 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 3-2 @ 3.92% ( 4-1 @ 3.65% ( 4-0 @ 3.22% ( 4-2 @ 2.07% ( 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 5-0 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 4.15% Total : 59.7% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0-0 @ 3.91% ( 3-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.56% | 1-2 @ 5.3% ( 0-1 @ 4.43% ( 0-2 @ 2.51% ( 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 1-3 @ 2% ( 0-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 19.73% |