Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
5 | Rennes | 38 | 42 | 66 |
6 | Strasbourg | 38 | 17 | 63 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Troyes | 38 | -16 | 38 |
16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 81.22%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 5.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.09%) and 1-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.08%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (2.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Lorient |
81.22% | 12.79% | 5.99% |
Both teams to score 41.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.4% | 36.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.23% | 58.77% |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.08% | 6.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.59% | 25.41% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.97% | 55.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.1% | 87.9% |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Lorient |
2-0 @ 13.58% 3-0 @ 12.09% 1-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 8.12% 4-0 @ 8.08% 3-1 @ 7.23% 4-1 @ 4.82% 5-0 @ 4.31% 5-1 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 2.16% 6-0 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.44% 6-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.56% Total : 81.2% | 1-1 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 3.81% 2-2 @ 2.42% Other @ 0.48% Total : 12.79% | 0-1 @ 2.28% 1-2 @ 1.82% Other @ 1.9% Total : 5.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 65 | 24 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Brest | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 53 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
4 | Lille | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Nice | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 44 |
6 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 40 |
9 | Marseille | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 39 |
10 | Rennes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 39 |
11 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 36 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 36 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 31 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 28 |
16 | Lorient | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 26 |
17 | Metz | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |