Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 81.22%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 5.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.09%) and 1-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.08%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (2.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.