Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33

Apr 20, 2022 at 6pm UK

Stade du Moustoir

Lorient
1 - 0
Metz

Ouattara (90+4')
Laporte (22'), Mendes (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Amadou (36'), Nguette (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

Last Six:

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Troyes	38	-16	38
16	Lorient	38	-28	36
17	Clermont	38	-31	36

Metz

Last Six:

Last Game: PSG 5-0 Metz
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Saint-Etienne	38	-35	32
19	Metz	38	-34	31
20	Bordeaux	38	-39	31

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 58.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lorient in this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Metz
58.51%	23.68%	17.81%

Both teams to score 46.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.62%

53.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.08%

74.91%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.99%

18.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.12%

48.88%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.17%

43.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.02%

79.98%

Score Analysis

Lorient 58.5%

Metz 17.81%

Draw 23.68%

Lorient	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 13.53% 2-0 @ 11.59% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 5.47% 4-0 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 2.26% 5-0 @ 0.97% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.34% Total : 58.5%	1-1 @ 11.16% 0-0 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.68%	0-1 @ 6.51% 1-2 @ 4.6% 0-2 @ 2.69% 1-3 @ 1.27% 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.66% Total : 17.81%