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Strasbourg
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Metz logo

Lorient
1 - 0
Metz

Ouattara (90+4')
Laporte (22'), Mendes (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Amadou (36'), Nguette (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 5-0 Metz
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-1 Metz

A home game against the division's bottom-placed side is as ideal as it gets for Lorient in their efforts to pull clear of the relegation zone. However, they face a Metz outfit who have their backs against the wall, and we think that the visitors will do enough to earn a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 58.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lorient in this match.

Result
LorientDrawMetz
58.51%23.68%17.81%
Both teams to score 46.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.62%53.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.08%74.91%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.99%18.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.12%48.88%
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.17%43.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.02%79.98%
Score Analysis
    Lorient 58.5%
    Metz 17.81%
    Draw 23.68%
LorientDrawMetz
1-0 @ 13.53%
2-0 @ 11.59%
2-1 @ 9.57%
3-0 @ 6.63%
3-1 @ 5.47%
4-0 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 2.26%
5-0 @ 0.97%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 58.5%
1-1 @ 11.16%
0-0 @ 7.89%
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 23.68%
0-1 @ 6.51%
1-2 @ 4.6%
0-2 @ 2.69%
1-3 @ 1.27%
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 17.81%

How you voted: Lorient vs Metz

Lorient
66.7%
Draw
23.8%
Metz
9.5%
42
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2021 2pm
Metz
4-1
Lorient
Sarr (5'), Jenz (9' og.), Boulaya (19'), Niane (80')
Pajot (49'), Sarr (89')
Jenz (69')
Abergel (17'), Laporte (28')
May 16, 2021 8pm
Lorient
2-1
Metz
Wissa (31' pen.), Hergault (74')
Grbic (90+1')
Traore (72')
Kouyate (23'), Bronn (30'), Ambrose (65'), Centonze (84')
Oct 4, 2020 2pm
Metz
3-1
Lorient
Niane (44' pen., 59', 64')
Angban (40')
Hamel (36')
Abergel (52'), Wissa (86')
Mar 31, 2019 12pm
Metz
2-1
Lorient
Diallo (30' pen.), Gakpa (77')
Boulaya (87')
Nguette (34')
Claude Maurice (82')
Meslier (28'), Sissoko (54'), Sarr (67'), Lemoine (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon147432617925
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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