| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Troyes | 38 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
| 17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Angers | 38 | -11 | 41 |
| 15 | Troyes | 38 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Troyes |
| 50.47% ( | 23.71% ( | 25.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.47% ( | 44.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.1% ( | 66.9% ( |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.29% ( | 17.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.63% ( | 48.37% ( |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.02% ( | 30.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.72% ( | 67.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Troyes |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 2-0 @ 8.22% 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-0 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 2.41% 4-0 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.7% Total : 50.47% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0-0 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 6.52% 0-1 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 3.77% 1-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.88% Total : 25.82% |