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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Troyes

Lorient
1 - 1
Troyes

Lauriente (74')
Monconduit (59'), Lauriente (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Touzghar (22')
Ripart (64'), Larouci (78')
Kabore (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
LorientDrawTroyes
50.47% (0.0019999999999953 0)23.71% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)25.82% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 56.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.47% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)44.53% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.1% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)66.9% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)17.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.63% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)48.37% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.02% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.97% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.72% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)67.28% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 50.47%
    Troyes 25.82%
    Draw 23.71%
LorientDrawTroyes
2-1 @ 9.63%
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.22%
3-1 @ 5.56%
3-0 @ 4.74%
3-2 @ 3.26%
4-1 @ 2.41%
4-0 @ 2.05%
4-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 50.47%
1-1 @ 11.13%
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 6.52%
0-1 @ 6.43%
0-2 @ 3.77%
1-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 25.82%

How you voted: Lorient vs Troyes

Lorient
54.1%
Draw
29.7%
Troyes
16.2%
37
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2021 6pm
Mar 21, 2020 2pm
Oct 26, 2019 2pm
Apr 19, 2019 7pm
Lorient
0-3
Troyes

Wissa (7'), Wadja (41'), Saad (82')
Mbeumo (12'), Pele (39'), Touzghar (90')
Raveleson (38'), Martins Pereira (80')