MX23RW : Thursday, December 12 05:44:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Lens logo

Troyes
1 - 3
Lens

Biancone (14')
Kabore (9')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Danso (42'), Kalimuendo (45'), Clauss (71')
Medina (19'), Frankowski (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Troyes 1-2 Lens

With the hosts now feeling comfortable and the visitors fighting to keep their European hopes alive, we lean towards an away win at the weekend. Lens find themselves in an impressive run of form, and we see them continuing that with a victory being much-needed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
TroyesDrawLens
35.71% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 27.98% (0.0010000000000012 0) 36.31% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.86% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.82% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)58.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.17% (-0.004999999999999 -0)78.83% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (0.010000000000005 0.01)31.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68% (0.012 0.01)67.32% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.37% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)30.63% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.12% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)66.87% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 35.71%
    Lens 36.3%
    Draw 27.97%
TroyesDrawLens
1-0 @ 11.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.7% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.71%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 9.5% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.97%
0-1 @ 11.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 6.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 36.3%

How you voted: Troyes vs Lens

Troyes
18.5%
Draw
11.1%
Lens
70.4%
27
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2021 8pm
Lens
4-0
Troyes
Kalimuendo (14'), Said (30'), Clauss (35'), Frankowski (60')
Ganago (69')

Batlles (15'), Rodrigues (74')
Feb 4, 2020 8.05pm
Lens
1-0
Troyes
Jean (65')
Haidara (48'), Michelin (90')

Kouame (19'), El Hajjam (45')
Kouame (36')
Aug 24, 2019 2pm
Troyes
2-0
Lens
Kouyate (45'), Pintor (83')
Souare (16'), Giraudon (18'), Tardieu (61'), Pintor (93')

Sotoca (46')
Aug 13, 2019 8.05pm
Troyes
1-2
Lens
Kouyate (10')
Salmier (34'), Mambo (74'), Giraudon (77'), Kouyate (89')
Sene (75'), Banza (84')
Perez (31'), Teka (39')
May 24, 2019 5pm
Troyes
1-2
Lens
Pele (44' pen.)
Poaty (26'), Martins Pereira (35'), Giraudon (103'), Darbion (117')
Martins Pereira (67')
Gomis (3'), Banza (108')
Leca (40'), Gillet (40'), Ambrose (71'), Centonze (117')
Leca (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1492331171429
3MonacoMonaco1492324121229
4Lille1475224141026
5Lyon147432617925
6Nice146532617923
7Lens146531712523
8Auxerre146262121020
9Reims145452018219
10Toulouse145361516-118
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne144191132-2113
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238


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