Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37

May 14, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade de l'Aube

Troyes
1 - 3
Lens

Biancone (14')
Kabore (9')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Danso (42'), Kalimuendo (45'), Clauss (71')
Medina (19'), Frankowski (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

Last Six:

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Angers	38	-11	41
15	Troyes	38	-16	38
16	Lorient	38	-28	36

Lens

Last Six:

Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Strasbourg	38	17	63
7	Lens	38	14	62
8	Lyon	38	15	61

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Troyes	Draw	Lens
35.71% ( 0.02)	27.98% ( 0)	36.31% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 47.86% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.82% (

-0.01)

58.18% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.17% (

-0)

78.83% (

0.01)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.99% (

0.01)

31.01% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.68% (

0.01)

67.32% (

-0.01)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.37% (

-0.02)

30.63% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.12% (

-0.02)

66.87% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Troyes 35.71%

Lens 36.3%

Draw 27.97%

Troyes	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.71%	1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.5% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.97%	0-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.65% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 36.3%