| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Angers | 38 | -11 | 41 |
| 15 | Troyes | 38 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Rennes | 38 | 42 | 66 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 38 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 31.5% | 29.14% | 39.36% |
| Both teams to score 43.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.32% | 62.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.76% | 82.24% |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.74% | 36.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.95% | 73.05% |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.97% | 31.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.66% | 67.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Troyes | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 6.78% 2-0 @ 5.79% 3-1 @ 2.29% 3-0 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.94% Total : 31.5% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.13% | 0-1 @ 13.16% 1-2 @ 7.82% 0-2 @ 7.7% 1-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.07% Total : 39.35% |