| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Rennes | 38 | 42 | 66 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 38 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
| 8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
| 9 | Nantes | 38 | 7 | 55 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Lyon |
| 36.7% | 26.15% | 37.15% |
| Both teams to score 53.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.2% | 50.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.31% | 72.69% |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% | 26.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.88% | 62.11% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.44% | 26.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.22% | 61.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Strasbourg | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 9.38% 2-1 @ 8.18% 2-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.13% Total : 36.7% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 8.24% 0-2 @ 6.26% 1-3 @ 3.64% 0-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.21% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.15% |