| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
| 8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
| 9 | Nantes | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
| 5 | Rennes | 38 | 42 | 66 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 38 | 17 | 63 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 52.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Rennes win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Rennes |
| 52.68% | 24.14% | 23.18% |
| Both teams to score 52.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.19% | 48.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.09% | 70.91% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.51% | 18.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.31% | 49.69% |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.46% | 35.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.69% | 72.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 9.69% 2-0 @ 9.36% 3-1 @ 5.45% 3-0 @ 5.27% 3-2 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 2.22% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.29% Total : 52.68% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 6.57% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 6.8% 1-2 @ 5.94% 0-2 @ 3.52% 1-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.95% Total : 23.18% |