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Strasbourg
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Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34
Apr 23, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Montpellier

Lyon
5 - 2
Montpellier

Dembele (26'), Mendes (43'), Aouar (63', 90+1'), Toko Ekambi (68')
Boateng (75'), Gusto (89')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Wahi (45+1'), Savanier (45+3' pen.)
Oyongo (28'), Cozza (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Clermont 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 2-0 Montpellier
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 2-1 Montpellier HSC

While Lyon have been far from their best for large sections of the season, and come in with a badly hit squad, they still boast plenty of quality and meet an out-of-sorts Montpellier side. We ultimately see Bosz's men returning to winning ways with home advantage and the need for a near-perfect end to the season to stand any chance of a high finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 76.19%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 9.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawMontpellier HSC
76.19%14.63%9.17%
Both teams to score 51.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.07%32.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.35%54.65%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.85%7.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74%26%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.79%44.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.7%80.29%
Score Analysis
    Lyon 76.19%
    Montpellier HSC 9.17%
    Draw 14.63%
LyonDrawMontpellier HSC
2-0 @ 11%
3-0 @ 9.68%
2-1 @ 8.98%
1-0 @ 8.34%
3-1 @ 7.9%
4-0 @ 6.39%
4-1 @ 5.21%
5-0 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 3.22%
5-1 @ 2.75%
4-2 @ 2.13%
6-0 @ 1.48%
6-1 @ 1.21%
5-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 76.19%
1-1 @ 6.8%
2-2 @ 3.67%
0-0 @ 3.16%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 14.63%
1-2 @ 2.78%
0-1 @ 2.58%
0-2 @ 1.05%
2-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 9.17%

How you voted: Lyon vs Montpellier

Lyon
84.4%
Draw
12.5%
Montpellier HSC
3.1%
32
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2021 4pm
Montpellier
0-1
Lyon

Ferri (68')
Paqueta (17')
Slimani (29'), Caqueret (40'), Boateng (45'), Palmieri (67')
Feb 13, 2021 8pm
Sep 15, 2020 8pm
Montpellier
2-1
Lyon
Savanier (38' pen., 59')
Delort (7'), Ferri (62'), Hilton (71')
Hilton (81')
Depay (82' pen.)
Guimaraes (36'), Toko Ekambi (45+2')
Aouar (44')
May 9, 2020 7pm
Aug 27, 2019 6pm
Montpellier
1-0
Lyon
Souquet (42')
Mendes (54'), Souquet (90')

Andersen (36'), Tousart (49'), Mendes (56'), Tete (82')
Kone (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1492331171429
3MonacoMonaco1492324121229
4Lille1475224141026
5Lyon147432617925
6Nice146532617923
7Lens146531712523
8Auxerre146262121020
9Reims145452018219
10Toulouse145361516-118
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne144191132-2113
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238


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