Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
9 | Nantes | 38 | 7 | 55 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Reims | 38 | -1 | 46 |
13 | Montpellier HSC | 38 | -12 | 43 |
14 | Angers | 38 | -11 | 41 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 76.19%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 9.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
76.19% | 14.63% | 9.17% |
Both teams to score 51.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.07% | 32.93% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.35% | 54.65% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.85% | 7.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74% | 26% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.79% | 44.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.7% | 80.29% |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-0 @ 11% 3-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 8.98% 1-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 7.9% 4-0 @ 6.39% 4-1 @ 5.21% 5-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 3.22% 5-1 @ 2.75% 4-2 @ 2.13% 6-0 @ 1.48% 6-1 @ 1.21% 5-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.41% Total : 76.19% | 1-1 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 3.67% 0-0 @ 3.16% Other @ 1.01% Total : 14.63% | 1-2 @ 2.78% 0-1 @ 2.58% 0-2 @ 1.05% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.77% Total : 9.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 29 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 69 | 25 | 44 | 66 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 55 | 38 | 17 | 55 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 47 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
9 | Marseille | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 40 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 36 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |