Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31

Apr 10, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
2 - 0
Montpellier

Dieng (9'), Under (19' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ferri (18'), Leroy (66')
Omlin (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

Last Six:

Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Paris Saint-Germain	38	54	86
2	Marseille	38	25	71
3	Monaco	38	25	69

Montpellier HSC

Last Six:

Last Game: Angers 2-0 Montpellier
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Reims	38	-1	46
13	Montpellier HSC	38	-12	43
14	Angers	38	-11	41

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 72.64%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 10.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.79%) and 3-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Marseille in this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Montpellier HSC
72.64%	17%	10.36%

Both teams to score 47.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.16%

40.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.76%

63.23%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.15%

9.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.33%

32.67%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.7%

47.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.28%

82.71%

Score Analysis

Marseille 72.63%

Montpellier HSC 10.36%

Draw 17%

Marseille	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-0 @ 12.51% 1-0 @ 10.79% 3-0 @ 9.67% 2-1 @ 9.37% 3-1 @ 7.24% 4-0 @ 5.61% 4-1 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 2.71% 5-0 @ 2.6% 5-1 @ 1.95% 4-2 @ 1.57% 6-0 @ 1% Other @ 3.41% Total : 72.63%	1-1 @ 8.08% 0-0 @ 4.66% 2-2 @ 3.51% Other @ 0.75% Total : 17%	0-1 @ 3.49% 1-2 @ 3.03% 0-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.55% Total : 10.36%