Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 72.64%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 10.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.79%) and 3-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Marseille in this match.