Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Marseille |
| 27.34% | 25.73% | 46.93% |
| Both teams to score 51.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.03% | 51.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.29% | 73.71% |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.27% | 33.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.62% | 70.38% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.86% | 22.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.48% | 55.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Troyes | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 8.11% 2-1 @ 6.65% 2-0 @ 4.41% 3-1 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 1.82% 3-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.34% Total : 27.34% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 11.25% 1-2 @ 9.23% 0-2 @ 8.49% 1-3 @ 4.64% 0-3 @ 4.27% 2-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.61% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.23% Total : 46.93% |