/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F46%2Fqarlog.png)
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Cengiz Under
36'
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Arkadiusz Milik
41'
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Arkadiusz Milik
44'
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Luan Peres
66'
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Bamba Dieng
77'
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Dimitri Payet
90'+2'
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Kady
85'
Marseille vs Qarabag FK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F06%2Fmarmetz.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 15.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result
Marseille
59.87%
Draw
24.6%
Qarabag FK
15.53%
Both Teams to Score:
39.54%
Goals
Over 2.5
40.24%
Under 2.5
59.75%
Over 3.5
19.95%
Under 3.5
80.05%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
80.08%
Under 0.5
19.91%
Over 1.5
47.94%
Under 1.5
52.05%
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5
49.37%
Under 0.5
50.62%
Over 1.5
14.91%
Under 1.5
85.08%
Score analysis
Marseille
59.86%
Draw
24.59%
Qarabag FK
15.53%
Marseille
1-0
@
16.26%
2-0 @ 13.12%
2-1 @ 8.94%
3-0 @ 7.06%
3-1 @ 4.81%
4-0 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 1.94%
3-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 59.86%
2-0 @ 13.12%
2-1 @ 8.94%
3-0 @ 7.06%
3-1 @ 4.81%
4-0 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 1.94%
3-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 59.86%
Draw
1-1
@
11.07%
0-0 @ 10.08%
2-2 @ 3.04%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 24.59%
0-0 @ 10.08%
2-2 @ 3.04%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 24.59%
Qarabag FK
0-1
@
6.86%
1-2 @ 3.77%
0-2 @ 2.34%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 15.53%
1-2 @ 3.77%
0-2 @ 2.34%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 15.53%