Conference League
Dec 9, 2021 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Arthur 33' goal
  • Fabian Frei 42' yellowcard
  • Pajtim Kasami 62' goal
  • Arthur 74' goal
  • yellowcard Patrick Andrade 81'

Basel vs Qarabag FK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Nov 25, 2021 3.30pm
Kairat 2 - 3 Basel

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Nov 25, 2021 5.45pm
Qarabag 2 - 2 Omonia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 53.2%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result

Basel 53.2%
Draw 22.93%
Qarabag FK 23.86%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.3%

Goals

Over 2.5 57.11%
Under 2.5 42.89%
Over 3.5 34.71%
Under 3.5 65.29%

Basel Goals

Over 0.5 83.89%
Under 0.5 16.11%
Over 1.5 54.47%
Under 1.5 45.53%

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5 68.31%
Under 0.5 31.69%
Over 1.5 31.89%
Under 1.5 68.11%

Score analysis

Basel 53.2%
Draw 22.93%
Qarabag FK 23.86%
Basel
2-1 @ 9.78%
1-0 @ 9.32%
2-0 @ 8.51%
3-1 @ 5.95%
3-0 @ 5.18%
3-2 @ 3.42%
4-1 @ 2.72%
4-0 @ 2.36%
4-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 53.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.71%
2-2 @ 5.62%
0-0 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.93%
Qarabag FK
1-2 @ 6.16%
0-1 @ 5.87%
0-2 @ 3.37%
1-3 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 23.86%

Head to Head

Conference League
Sep 16, 2021 5.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu
  • Kady 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wouter Burger 26'
  • yellowcard Pajtim Kasami 51'
  • yellowcard Liam Millar 90'+2'