UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Qualifying Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Aug 26, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen
1 - 3
Qarabag FK

(Qarabag FK win 4-1 on aggregate)

Ferguson (90+2' pen.)
MacKenzie (32'), Ojo (58'), Ferguson (61'), Brown (64')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Bayramov (8'), Iuri Borges Malinowski (18'), Zoubir (72')
Iuri Borges Malinowski (25'), Ibrahimli (47')

The Match

Match Report

The Dons had been looking to overturn a 1-0 first-leg deficit.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Aberdeen and Qarabag FK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 55.22%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 23.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	Qarabag FK
55.22%	21.66%	23.11%

Both teams to score 60.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.19%

37.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.94%

60.06%

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.31%

13.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.09%

40.9%

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.47%

29.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.45%

65.55%

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 55.22%

Qarabag FK 23.11%

Draw 21.66%

Aberdeen	Draw	Qarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.75% 1-0 @ 8.04% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 6.46% 3-0 @ 5.3% 3-2 @ 3.94% 4-1 @ 3.21% 4-0 @ 2.63% 4-2 @ 1.96% 5-1 @ 1.28% 5-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.6% Total : 55.22%	1-1 @ 9.8% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 4.04% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.66%	1-2 @ 5.98% 0-1 @ 4.93% 0-2 @ 3.01% 1-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.13% Total : 23.11%