Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 49.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Metz had a probability of 24.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Metz |
| 49.09% | 26.4% | 24.51% |
| Both teams to score 47.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.56% | 56.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.55% | 77.45% |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.95% | 23.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.13% | 56.88% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.44% | 38.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.69% | 75.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Troyes | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 13.04% 2-0 @ 9.57% 2-1 @ 9.12% 3-0 @ 4.68% 3-1 @ 4.46% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.72% 4-1 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.73% Total : 49.09% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 8.47% 1-2 @ 5.92% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.38% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.54% Total : 24.51% |