Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 31.32% | 26.62% | 42.07% |
| Both teams to score 51.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.34% | 53.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.85% | 75.15% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.35% | 31.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.95% | 68.06% |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.78% | 25.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.04% | 59.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% 2-1 @ 7.28% 2-0 @ 5.28% 3-1 @ 2.79% 3-0 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.92% Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.32% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 7.98% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 10.99% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-2 @ 7.57% 1-3 @ 4% 0-3 @ 3.48% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.43% Total : 42.06% |