Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Strasbourg |
31.32% | 26.62% | 42.07% |
Both teams to score 51.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.34% | 53.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.85% | 75.15% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.35% | 31.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.95% | 68.06% |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.78% | 25.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.04% | 59.96% |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 9.18% 2-1 @ 7.28% 2-0 @ 5.28% 3-1 @ 2.79% 3-0 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.92% Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.32% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 7.98% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 10.99% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-2 @ 7.57% 1-3 @ 4% 0-3 @ 3.48% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.43% Total : 42.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 36 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |