Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24

Feb 13, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest
5 - 1
Troyes

Satriano (7', 27'), Honorat (49', 67'), Mounie (82')
Agoume (15'), Der Zakarian (66')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Rami (45')
Tardieu (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
Brest	Draw	Troyes
46.47%	25.9%	27.63%

Both teams to score 51.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.53%

52.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.86%

74.14%

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.44%

22.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.85%

56.14%

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.24%

33.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.58%

70.42%

Score Analysis

Brest 46.46%

Troyes 27.63%

Draw 25.89%

Brest	Draw	Troyes
1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 8.44% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-0 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.13% Total : 46.46%	1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.61% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 8.27% 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.34% Total : 27.63%

How you voted: Brest vs Troyes

Brest

73.3%

Draw

20.0%

Troyes

6.7%