Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Troyes |
46.47% | 25.9% | 27.63% |
Both teams to score 51.3% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.53% | 52.47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.86% | 74.14% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.44% | 22.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.85% | 56.14% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.24% | 33.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.58% | 70.42% |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Troyes |
1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 8.44% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-0 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.13% Total : 46.46% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.61% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.27% 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.34% Total : 27.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 29 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 69 | 25 | 44 | 66 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 55 | 38 | 17 | 55 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 47 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
9 | Marseille | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 40 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 36 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |