| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Monaco | 37 | 25 | 68 |
| 3 | Marseille | 37 | 21 | 68 |
| 4 | Rennes | 37 | 42 | 65 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 37 | 49 | 83 |
| 2 | Monaco | 37 | 25 | 68 |
| 3 | Marseille | 37 | 21 | 68 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Monaco |
| 40.47% | 26.31% | 33.22% |
| Both teams to score 52.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.11% | 51.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.35% | 73.64% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.75% | 25.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40% | 60% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% | 29.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.52% | 65.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 8.61% 2-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.49% Total : 40.46% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.44% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 9.09% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 3.11% 0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.22% |