Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37

May 14, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Louis II

Monaco
4 - 2
Brest

Ben Yedder (44' pen., 51', 54'), Volland (70')
Golovin (45+3'), Volland (62')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Duverne (10'), Belaili (23')
Herelle (45+3'), Der Zakarian (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

Last Six:

Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Marseille	38	25	71
3	Monaco	38	25	69
4	Nice	38	16	67

Brest

Last Six:

Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Lille	38	0	55
11	Brest	38	-8	48
12	Reims	38	-1	46

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 67.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 13.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Brest
67.41% ( 0)	19.35% ( -0)	13.23%

Both teams to score 48.89% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56% (

44% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.61% (

66.38% (

-0.01)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.92% (

-0)

12.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.39% (

37.61% (

-0)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.6% (

-0)

44.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.55%

80.45% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Monaco 67.41%

Brest 13.23%

Draw 19.35%

Monaco	Draw	Brest
2-0 @ 11.98% 1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.44% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.85% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.46% 4-1 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 2.78% 5-0 @ 1.89% 5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.32% Total : 67.41%	1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.36% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.84% Total : 19.35%	0-1 @ 4.35% 1-2 @ 3.74% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.07% 1-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.29% Total : 13.23%