Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32

Apr 16, 2022 at 4pm UK

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

St Etienne
2 - 1
Brest

Camara (14', 39')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Honorat (8')
Pierre-Gabriel (74'), Belkebla (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

Last Six:

Last Game: St Etienne 1-1 Auxerre (4-5 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1 Playoffs

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Clermont	38	-31	36
18	Saint-Etienne	38	-35	32
19	Metz	38	-34	31

Brest

Last Six:

Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Lille	38	0	55
11	Brest	38	-8	48
12	Reims	38	-1	46

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Brest had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Brest
40.04%	26.25%	33.71%

Both teams to score 53.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.44%

51.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.64%

73.36%

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.67%

25.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.89%

60.11%

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71%

29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.1%

64.9%

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 40.03%

Brest 33.71%

Draw 26.25%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 8.57% 2-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.49% Total : 40.03%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.34% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 9.09% 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-2 @ 5.63% 1-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.71%