Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29

Mar 18, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

St Etienne
1 - 1
Troyes

Boudebouz (67' pen.)
Mangala (62'), Khazri (69')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mothiba (18')
Chavalerin (65'), Palmer-Brown (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

Last Six:

Last Game: St Etienne 1-1 Auxerre (4-5 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1 Playoffs

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Clermont	38	-31	36
18	Saint-Etienne	38	-35	32
19	Metz	38	-34	31

Troyes

Last Six:

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Angers	38	-11	41
15	Troyes	38	-16	38
16	Lorient	38	-28	36

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Troyes
46.27%	26.3%	27.42%

Both teams to score 49.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.82%

54.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.41%

75.58%

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.62%

23.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.65%

57.35%

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.16%

34.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.43%

71.57%

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 46.27%

Troyes 27.42%

Draw 26.3%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Troyes
1-0 @ 11.83% 2-1 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 8.6% 3-1 @ 4.4% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.78% Total : 46.27%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.3%	0-1 @ 8.59% 1-2 @ 6.58% 0-2 @ 4.53% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.14% Total : 27.42%