Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28

Mar 12, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade de l'Aube

Troyes
1 - 0
Nantes

Ugbo (43')
Conte (47')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Simon (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

Last Six:

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Angers	38	-11	41
15	Troyes	38	-16	38
16	Lorient	38	-28	36

Nantes

Last Six:

Last Game: Nantes 1-1 St Etienne
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Next Game: PSG vs. Nantes
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Trophee des Champions

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Lyon	38	15	61
9	Nantes	38	7	55
10	Lille	38	0	55

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Troyes in this match.

Result
Troyes	Draw	Nantes
39.99%	28.43%	31.58%

Both teams to score 45.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.7%

60.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.53%

80.47%

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.53%

29.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.52%

65.48%

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.08%

34.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.34%

71.66%

Score Analysis

Troyes 39.98%

Nantes 31.57%

Draw 28.42%

Troyes	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 12.57% 2-1 @ 8.08% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 1.73% 4-1 @ 1.01% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.54% Total : 39.98%	1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 10.29% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.42%	0-1 @ 10.82% 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 5.7% 1-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.17% Total : 31.57%