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AJ Auxerre
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Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 6, 2022 at 2pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
Montpellier

Nantes
2 - 0
Montpellier

Kolo (69'), Geubbels (90+2')
Castelletto (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ristic (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 3-2 Nantes
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Next Game: Nantes vs. St Etienne
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-4 PSG
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Next Game: Angers vs. Montpellier
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 2-1 Montpellier HSC

Considering the difference in form between the two teams, Nantes can be considered the favourites to come out on top this weekend, though Montpellier cannot be underestimated and will be fired up as they attempt to turn their fortunes around. Nantes failed to score in the reverse fixture earlier this season, but we can see them securing a narrow victory on home soil this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawMontpellier HSC
53.84%24.41%21.75%
Both teams to score 49.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.63%51.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81%73.19%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.98%19.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.42%50.57%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.66%38.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.9%75.09%
Score Analysis
    Nantes 53.83%
    Montpellier HSC 21.75%
    Draw 24.41%
NantesDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 12.1%
2-0 @ 10.04%
2-1 @ 9.63%
3-0 @ 5.56%
3-1 @ 5.33%
3-2 @ 2.55%
4-0 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 2.21%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 53.83%
1-1 @ 11.6%
0-0 @ 7.29%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 6.99%
1-2 @ 5.56%
0-2 @ 3.35%
1-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.48%
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 21.75%

How you voted: Nantes vs Montpellier

Nantes
90.3%
Draw
9.7%
Montpellier HSC
0.0%
31
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2021 2pm
Montpellier
2-0
Nantes
Mollet (64'), Wahi (71')
Savanier (37'), Sakho (42'), Ferri (90+2')

Appiah (35'), Traore (44'), Pallois (73'), Girotto (90'), Castelletto (90+2')
May 23, 2021 8pm
Nantes
1-2
Montpellier
Kolo (33')
Coco (82'), Blas (90+1')
Laborde (30'), Delort (76')
Hilton (18'), Souquet (45+1')
Jan 9, 2021 8pm
Montpellier
1-1
Nantes
Oyongo (6')
Souquet (31'), Delort (55'), Le Tallec (59'), Ferri (73'), Congre (75')
Louza (51')
May 16, 2020 7pm
Aug 31, 2019 7pm
Nantes
1-0
Montpellier
Toure (84')
Bamba (33'), Abeid (71')

Mendes (28'), Laborde (45')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon147432617925
6Lens156631914524
7Nice146532617923
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238


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