Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38

May 23, 2021 at 8pm UK

La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
1 - 2
Montpellier

Kolo (33')
Coco (82'), Blas (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Laborde (30'), Delort (76')
Hilton (18'), Souquet (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Montpellier HSC
36.27%	27.24%	36.48%

Both teams to score 50.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.66%

55.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.45%

76.55%

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.75%

29.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.79%

65.21%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.88%

29.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.95%

65.05%

Score Analysis

Nantes 36.27%

Montpellier HSC 36.48%

Draw 27.23%

Nantes	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.47% 2-1 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 6.44% 3-1 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.27%	1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.52% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.23%	0-1 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.48%

How you voted: Nantes vs Montpellier

Nantes

60.0%

Draw

13.3%

Montpellier HSC

26.7%