Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.