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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Clermont Foot
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 36
May 8, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Gabriel Montpied
Montpellier

Clermont
2 - 1
Montpellier

Rashani (4'), Bayo (69' pen.)
Abdul Samed (35'), Gastien (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Chotard (32')
Mollet (24'), Dall'Oglio (25'), Souquet (71'), Leroy (74'), Chotard (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Clermont and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Clermont 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 2-0 Montpellier
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Clermont 1-1 Montpellier HSC

As mentioned, it is the hosts with infinitely more to play for than the visitors. However, Montpellier have a knack for not getting beaten by those towards the bottom of the table - even when they are two goals down with 10 minutes remaining - so we are going with the draw for this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.

Result
ClermontDrawMontpellier HSC
47.63% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 24.76% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 27.62% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.89% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)47.76% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.05% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)69.95% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.89% (0.010000000000005 0.01)20.11% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.64% (0.017000000000003 0.02)52.36% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.71% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)31.29% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.36% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)67.65% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Clermont 47.62%
    Montpellier HSC 27.62%
    Draw 24.75%
ClermontDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.09%
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.09% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 47.62%
1-1 @ 11.72%
0-0 @ 6.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.46%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 27.62%

How you voted: Clermont vs Montpellier

Clermont
42.1%
Draw
31.6%
Montpellier HSC
26.3%
19
Head to Head
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Montpellier
1-0
Clermont
Wahi (28')
Mavididi (38'), Sambia (50'), Chotard (90')

Abdul Samed (51'), Abdul Samed (90+3'), Gastien (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG28189165244163
2Brest29158644271753
3MonacoMonaco28157653381552
4Lille281310542251749
5Nice2812882822644
6Lens29127103832643
7Lyon29125123845-741
8Reims29117113639-340
9Marseille2810994133839
10Rennes29109104136539
11Toulouse2999113437-336
12StrasbourgStrasbourg2999113340-736
13Montpellier HSCMontpellier29810113641-533
14NantesNantes2994162845-1731
15Le HavreLe Havre29610132737-1028
16Lorient2868143552-1726
17Metz2975173049-1926
18Clermont29410152148-2722


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