| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
| 17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 38 | 54 | 86 |
| 2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 18.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 0-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Clermont win it was 2-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 18.99% | 20.63% | 60.37% |
| Both teams to score 57.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.37% | 38.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.07% | 60.93% |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.19% | 33.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.52% | 70.47% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.57% | 12.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.66% | 38.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Clermont | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 5.15% 1-0 @ 4.56% 2-0 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 1.94% 3-1 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.01% Total : 19% | 1-1 @ 9.5% 2-2 @ 5.37% 0-0 @ 4.2% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.63% | 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-2 @ 9.14% 0-1 @ 8.76% 1-3 @ 6.89% 0-3 @ 6.35% 2-3 @ 3.73% 1-4 @ 3.59% 0-4 @ 3.31% 2-4 @ 1.95% 1-5 @ 1.5% 0-5 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.87% Total : 60.37% |