| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Rennes | 37 | 42 | 65 |
| 5 | Nice | 37 | 15 | 64 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 37 | 21 | 63 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 37 | 49 | 83 |
| 2 | Monaco | 37 | 25 | 68 |
| 3 | Marseille | 37 | 21 | 68 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 59.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Nice had a probability of 19.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.57%) and 0-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Nice win it was 2-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 19.03% | 21.22% | 59.75% |
| Both teams to score 55.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.68% | 41.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.29% | 63.71% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.64% | 35.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.88% | 72.12% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.54% | 13.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.55% | 40.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 5.16% 1-0 @ 4.95% 2-0 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 1.79% 3-1 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.77% Total : 19.03% | 1-1 @ 9.92% 2-2 @ 5.17% 0-0 @ 4.76% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.22% | 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-2 @ 9.57% 0-1 @ 9.54% 1-3 @ 6.65% 0-3 @ 6.4% 2-3 @ 3.46% 1-4 @ 3.34% 0-4 @ 3.21% 2-4 @ 1.73% 1-5 @ 1.34% 0-5 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.27% Total : 59.75% |