| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| 19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
| 20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
| 4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
| 5 | Rennes | 38 | 42 | 66 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Nice had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bordeaux | Draw | Nice |
| 39.98% | 25.42% | 34.59% |
| Both teams to score 56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.19% | 47.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30% | 70% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.33% | 23.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.22% | 57.77% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.36% | 26.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.12% | 61.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bordeaux | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 9.09% 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 6.55% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.98% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.31% 2-2 @ 5.73% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.34% 1-2 @ 7.95% 0-2 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.59% |