| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 38 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
| 8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
| 4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
| 5 | Rennes | 38 | 42 | 66 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Nice had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Nice |
| 52.29% | 25.06% | 22.65% |
| Both teams to score 49.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.01% | 52.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.41% | 74.58% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.74% | 20.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.4% | 52.6% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.63% | 38.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.88% | 75.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 12.4% 2-0 @ 9.91% 2-1 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 5.27% 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-0 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.65% Total : 52.28% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 7.77% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.45% 1-2 @ 5.69% 0-2 @ 3.57% 1-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.45% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.54% Total : 22.65% |