Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 53.41%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Metz had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bordeaux would win this match.
Result | ||
Bordeaux | Draw | Metz |
53.41% | 24.99% | 21.6% |
Both teams to score 48.04% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.22% | 53.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.74% | 75.26% |
Bordeaux Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.88% | 20.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.62% | 52.38% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.14% | 39.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.48% | 76.52% |
Score Analysis |
Bordeaux | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 12.85% 2-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 5.51% 3-1 @ 5.07% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-0 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.67% Total : 53.4% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 8.02% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.38% 1-2 @ 5.44% 0-2 @ 3.39% 1-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.34% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.35% Total : 21.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |