| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| 19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
| 20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| 19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
| 20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 53.41%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Metz had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bordeaux would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bordeaux | Draw | Metz |
| 53.41% | 24.99% | 21.6% |
| Both teams to score 48.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.22% | 53.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.74% | 75.26% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.88% | 20.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.62% | 52.38% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.14% | 39.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.48% | 76.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bordeaux | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 12.85% 2-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 5.51% 3-1 @ 5.07% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-0 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.67% Total : 53.4% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 8.02% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.38% 1-2 @ 5.44% 0-2 @ 3.39% 1-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.34% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.35% Total : 21.6% |