Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29

Mar 20, 2022 at 2pm UK

Route de Lorient

Rennes
6 - 1
Metz

Terrier (18' pen., 27'), Guirassy (40', 54', 64'), Traore (59')
Santamaria (82')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Mafouta (87')
Kouyate (25'), Cande (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

Last Six:

Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Nice	38	16	67
5	Rennes	38	42	66
6	Strasbourg	38	17	63

Metz

Last Six:

Last Game: PSG 5-0 Metz
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Saint-Etienne	38	-35	32
19	Metz	38	-34	31
20	Bordeaux	38	-39	31

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 81.91%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Metz had a probability of 4.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.88%) and 3-0 (14.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.25%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Metz
81.91%	13.58%	4.51%

Both teams to score 29.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.39%

47.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.18%

69.82%

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.76%

9.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.74%

31.26%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

32.38%

67.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

5.92%

94.08%

Score Analysis

Rennes 81.9%

Metz 4.51%

Draw 13.58%

Rennes	Draw	Metz
2-0 @ 17.72% 1-0 @ 14.88% 3-0 @ 14.07% 4-0 @ 8.38% 2-1 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 5.5% 5-0 @ 3.99% 4-1 @ 3.28% 6-0 @ 1.58% 5-1 @ 1.56% 3-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.93% Total : 81.9%	0-0 @ 6.25% 1-1 @ 5.82% 2-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.15% Total : 13.58%	0-1 @ 2.45% 1-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.92% Total : 4.51%