Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 53.35%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.