| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 38 | 54 | 86 |
| 2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| 19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
| 20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 86.06%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 3.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.74%) and 4-0 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.76%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (1.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 86.06% | 10.1% | 3.84% |
| Both teams to score 36.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.91% | 34.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.01% | 55.99% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.53% | 5.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.64% | 21.36% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.62% | 61.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.66% | 91.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 2-0 @ 14.18% 3-0 @ 13.74% 4-0 @ 9.99% 1-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 6.71% 5-0 @ 5.81% 4-1 @ 4.88% 5-1 @ 2.84% 6-0 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 1.64% 6-1 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.19% 7-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.06% Total : 86.06% | 1-1 @ 4.76% 0-0 @ 3.36% 2-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.29% Total : 10.1% | 0-1 @ 1.64% 1-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.04% Total : 3.84% |