| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Metz | 37 | -29 | 31 |
| 19 | Saint-Etienne | 37 | -35 | 31 |
| 20 | Bordeaux | 37 | -41 | 28 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Angers | 37 | -13 | 38 |
| 15 | Troyes | 37 | -16 | 37 |
| 16 | Clermont | 37 | -30 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 48.83%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bordeaux | Draw | Troyes |
| 48.83% | 24.64% | 26.53% |
| Both teams to score 54.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.98% | 48.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.81% | 70.19% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.29% | 19.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.28% | 51.72% |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.73% | 32.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.24% | 68.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bordeaux | Draw | Troyes |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 9.49% 2-0 @ 8.39% 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-0 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.94% Total : 48.82% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 6.36% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 7.19% 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 4.07% 1-3 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.62% Total : 26.53% |