We said: Bordeaux 2-1 Troyes
A closely-fought contest between two relegation-threatened sides is set to take place on Sunday, and both teams will fancy their chances of claiming three crucial points.
Neither side can afford to lose and although there is little to separate them, Bordeaux's two performances since the appointment of Bruno Irles suggests that they may do enough to edge past Troyes and claim a slender win on home soil.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 48.83%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.