Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38

May 21, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest
2 - 4
Bordeaux

Mounie (16'), Belaili (34')
Chardonnet (30')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Mangas (14'), Mara (32', 73'), Dilrosun (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Bordeaux, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

Last Six:

Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Lille	38	0	55
11	Brest	38	-8	48
12	Reims	38	-1	46

Bordeaux

Last Six:

Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Saint-Etienne	38	-35	32
19	Metz	38	-34	31
20	Bordeaux	38	-39	31

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 20.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 1-0 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Brest	Draw	Bordeaux
59.42% ( -2.54)	20.33% ( 0.77)	20.25% ( 1.77)

Both teams to score 61.36% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.79% (

-0.91)

35.2% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.78% (

-1.01)

57.21% (

1.01)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.37% (

-0.94)

11.63% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.35% (

-2.06)

36.64% (

2.05)

Bordeaux Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.43% (

1.18)

30.57% (

-1.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.2% (

1.38)

66.79% (

-1.39)

Score Analysis

Brest 59.42%

Bordeaux 20.25%

Draw 20.33%

Brest	Draw	Bordeaux
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.42) 3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.29) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.36) 4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.19) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.22) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.64% Total : 59.42%	1-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.33%	1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.38) 0-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.78% Total : 20.25%