Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34

Apr 24, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
0 - 1
Brest

N'Doram (14'), Jemerson (35'), Kouyate (37'), Delaine (74')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Belaili (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

Last Six:

Last Game: PSG 5-0 Metz
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Saint-Etienne	38	-35	32
19	Metz	38	-34	31
20	Bordeaux	38	-39	31

Brest

Last Six:

Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Lille	38	0	55
11	Brest	38	-8	48
12	Reims	38	-1	46

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Metz had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brest in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brest.

Result
Metz	Draw	Brest
30.48%	26.4%	43.12%

Both teams to score 51.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.89%

53.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.32%

74.69%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.04%

31.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.59%

68.42%

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.57%

24.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.14%

58.86%

Score Analysis

Metz 30.48%

Brest 43.12%

Draw 26.4%

Metz	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 8.91% 2-1 @ 7.16% 2-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.92% Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.48%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.81% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.4%	0-1 @ 11% 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-2 @ 7.75% 1-3 @ 4.16% 0-3 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.46% 0-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.61% Total : 43.12%