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Le Havre
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Strasbourg
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Mar 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Marseille

Brest
1 - 4
Marseille

Cardona (90+1')
Satriano (35')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gerson (3'), Milik (63'), Harit (71'), Under (90+1')
Guendouzi (33'), Saliba (77'), Gueye (89'), Peres (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 1-2 Marseille

Marseille's recent Conference League exertions and sticky patch of league form will play right into Brest's hands, but the hosts have very little to fight for in the final months of the season. Sampaoli possesses plenty of talented options on the bench ready to make an impact, and with a penchant for victories away from home, Les Olympiens can use their wealth of firepower to edge a tight contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.34%. A win for Brest had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawMarseille
24.63%24.02%51.34%
Both teams to score 54.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.06%46.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.82%69.18%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.76%33.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.15%69.85%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.71%18.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.64%49.36%
Score Analysis
    Brest 24.64%
    Marseille 51.34%
    Draw 24.02%
BrestDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 6.7%
2-1 @ 6.26%
2-0 @ 3.69%
3-1 @ 2.3%
3-2 @ 1.95%
3-0 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 24.64%
1-1 @ 11.37%
0-0 @ 6.08%
2-2 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 10.32%
1-2 @ 9.66%
0-2 @ 8.77%
1-3 @ 5.47%
0-3 @ 4.97%
2-3 @ 3.01%
1-4 @ 2.33%
0-4 @ 2.11%
2-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 51.34%

How you voted: Brest vs Marseille

Brest
14.8%
Draw
7.4%
Marseille
77.8%
54
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2021 4pm
Marseille
1-2
Brest
Gerson (29')
Kamara (61')
Faivre (53' pen.), Honorat (70')
Pierre-Gabriel (90+2'), Cardona (90+3')
Mar 13, 2021 4pm
Marseille
3-1
Brest
Milik (45+1'), Thauvin (88'), Cuisance (90+3')
Caleta-Car (21'), Gonzalez (23'), Thauvin (38')
Brassier (71')
Mounie (55')
Aug 30, 2020 8pm
Brest
2-3
Marseille
Faivre (45+1'), Charbonnier (89')
Pierre-Gabriel (84'), Magnetti (90')
Thauvin (20'), Caleta-Car (27', 80')
Kamara (8'), Amavi (30'), Radonjic (45+3'), Balerdi (61')
Apr 5, 2020 8pm
Nov 29, 2019 7.45pm
Marseille
2-1
Brest
Sarr (56'), Radonjic (89')
Cardona (88')
Diallo (20'), Mendy (98')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1492331171429
3MonacoMonaco1492324121229
4Lille1475224141026
5Lyon147432617925
6Nice146532617923
7Lens146531712523
8Auxerre146262121020
9Reims145452018219
10Toulouse145361516-118
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne144191132-2113
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238


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