Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28

Mar 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest
1 - 4
Marseille

Cardona (90+1')
Satriano (35')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gerson (3'), Milik (63'), Harit (71'), Under (90+1')
Guendouzi (33'), Saliba (77'), Gueye (89'), Peres (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

Last Six:

Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Lille	38	0	55
11	Brest	38	-8	48
12	Reims	38	-1	46

Marseille

Last Six:

Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Paris Saint-Germain	38	54	86
2	Marseille	38	25	71
3	Monaco	38	25	69

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.34%. A win for Brest had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Brest	Draw	Marseille
24.63%	24.02%	51.34%

Both teams to score 54.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.06%

46.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.82%

69.18%

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.76%

33.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.15%

69.85%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.71%

18.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.64%

49.36%

Score Analysis

Brest 24.64%

Marseille 51.34%

Draw 24.02%

Brest	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 6.7% 2-1 @ 6.26% 2-0 @ 3.69% 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.95% 3-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.38% Total : 24.64%	1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.02%	0-1 @ 10.32% 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-2 @ 8.77% 1-3 @ 5.47% 0-3 @ 4.97% 2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 2.33% 0-4 @ 2.11% 2-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.41% Total : 51.34%