Conference League
Mar 10, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Orange Vélodrome
  • Arkadiusz Milik 19' goal
  • Dimitri Payet 43' yellowcard
  • Arkadiusz Milik 68' goal
  • goal Sebastiano Esposito 79'
  • yellowcard Wouter Burger 81'
  • yellowcard Darian Males 90'+2'

Marseille vs Basel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Basel

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Basel had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Basel win was 0-1 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result

Marseille 38.56%
Draw 28.47%
Basel 32.97%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.14%

Goals

Over 2.5 39.84%
Under 2.5 60.16%
Over 3.5 19.64%
Under 3.5 80.36%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 69.76%
Under 0.5 30.24%
Over 1.5 33.59%
Under 1.5 66.41%

Basel Goals

Over 0.5 66.15%
Under 0.5 33.85%
Over 1.5 29.48%
Under 1.5 70.52%

Score analysis

Marseille 38.56%
Draw 28.46%
Basel 32.96%
Marseille
1-0 @ 12.24%
2-1 @ 7.93%
2-0 @ 7.32%
3-1 @ 3.16%
3-0 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 1.71%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 38.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 10.23%
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.46%
Basel
0-1 @ 11.08%
1-2 @ 7.18%
0-2 @ 6.01%
1-3 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 32.96%