| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Lille | 38 | 0 | 55 |
| 11 | Brest | 38 | -8 | 48 |
| 12 | Reims | 38 | -1 | 46 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
| 17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Clermont |
| 44.52% | 26.45% | 29.02% |
| Both teams to score 50.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.07% | 53.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.62% | 75.38% |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.89% | 24.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.6% | 58.4% |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.54% | 33.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.91% | 70.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Clermont |
| 1-0 @ 11.47% 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 8.16% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.64% Total : 44.52% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 8.06% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 8.83% 1-2 @ 6.88% 0-2 @ 4.84% 1-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.42% Total : 29.02% |