| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Angers | 38 | -11 | 41 |
| 15 | Troyes | 38 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
| 17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 47.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 25.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Clermont |
| 47.09% | 27.1% | 25.81% |
| Both teams to score 46.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.94% | 58.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.26% | 78.74% |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.31% | 24.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.77% | 59.22% |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.69% | 38.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.94% | 75.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Troyes | Draw | Clermont |
| 1-0 @ 13.22% 2-0 @ 9.25% 2-1 @ 8.88% 3-0 @ 4.31% 3-1 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-1 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.33% Total : 47.08% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 9.46% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 9.08% 1-2 @ 6.09% 0-2 @ 4.35% 1-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.58% Total : 25.81% |